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安大略经济增长领先西方发达国家

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日期:08-02点击数:4235

7月18 日,安省最新出炉的统计数据显示,安大略经济的表现继续保持稳定增长的势头,成绩明显高于预期。最新统计数据表明,2016年第一季度,安大略省的实质GDP增长为0.8%,按照年增长率计算,达到3%,这是在上一个季度增长3.3%(年增长率计算)之后,又一个稳定增长的势头。

2016年首季3%的增长率,高于预期。省府在今年预算中,估计的增长率是2.2%,加拿大谘议局也曾预计全年增长率为2.8%。

经济增长,就业增加

3%的增长率,对于中国等新兴经济来说,也许并不是一个很可观的数字,但在西方发达国家来说,已经是名列前茅了。引人注目的是,安省经济的增长率不仅高于全加拿大,而且超过美国以及其他西方发达七国。相对于安省的0.8%,今年同期加拿大全国的增长率是0.6%,美国是0.3%,增长最高的德国是0.7%。安省未来2年的经济,预计将会继续成为全国增长最快速的省份之一。

省府的公告指出,安省经济首季的增长,动力来自出口贸易的强劲增长及家庭消费的增加。出口增加了1.7%,这是安省连续4个季度的增长,其中以汽车出口及消费品为主要动力。做生意的状况在改善,企业收入上升1.2%。随之而来的是打工者的就业状况有所改善,居民可支配收入增加0.9%。相辅相成,居民消费持续增长,今年第一季度增加0.6%。

安省是个多行业的经济,它没有把所有鸡蛋都放在一个产业的篮子里。最新数据也反映出另一个特点,安省经济的增长不是依赖其中一个单一行业,也不是依靠房地产,而是全行业的大面积增长。以行业数据来看,制造业的实质GDP上升了1.2%,动力也是源于汽车工业的生产增长。农产食品、饮料和烟草类商品增长3.1%,服务行业增长0.8%,零售及批发业、金融保险业均增长1.3,房地产行业增长0.6%,物流业增长1.1%,而机器制造业下降2.1%,化工业下降1.2%。

众所周知,2008/09年的金融危机,影响全球各个角落,安省也不能幸免,但安省经济复苏、走出低谷的势头强劲。自从金融危机以后,安省实质GDP已经上升了17.3%,目前已经超过危机到来前的水平,与金融危机前相比,安省经济已经高出了11.8%。

在经济稳定增长的同时,安省也是全国创造就业的主力,吸引更多的人来到安省。据统计数据显示,从2009年6月金融危机的最低点至今年6月,全省新增就业62万5100个,比金融危机冲击之前还多35万多就业岗位,就业恢复率是229%,相比之下美国是116%。在新增就业中,96%是全职岗位,72%是私营企业,13%是公营职位,15.5%属于自雇。安省6月份的失业率6.4%,低于全国水平。

省府振兴经济策略初见成效

安省经济走势良好,保持稳定增长和繁荣的势头,也使得安省多年被英国机构评为北美地区吸引外国直接投资最多的省/州,这是全省民众和工商业者辛勤努力的结果,也是安省努力扶持良好经济环境的成效。安省政府实行的一些经济政策,目前逐渐看出了效果。

省府制定了四大支柱的经济发展战略,包括投资于民、开发省民的才干;大举投资公共基础设施建设;营造富有创新的营商环境;以及为打工者营造一个安全的退休金计划。

省长韦恩说﹕“安省2016年的首季经济表现强健,证实我们落实了促进经济增长及创造工作为优先的任务。我们的经济战略行之有效,我们会正在为安省社会建造一个强健而繁荣的未来。”

首先,安省非常注重教育及科研开发,注重投资于人民的才能和技能。面临激烈的国际竞争和全球化经济,安省不可能与其他国家拼劳动力价格,而是注重开发教育和科技创新能力,保持国际竞争的优势,省府曾经在北美率先推出全日制幼儿园体系,为儿童提供良好的早期教育;省府今年又推出高等教育为低中收入家庭免学费,让低收入家庭不至于因为经济拮据而丧失下一代受教育的机会。

第二,安省近年来大举兴建基础设施,省府计划在12年内投资1600亿元用于公共基础设施建设,这是安省历史上最大笔的建设投资,修建公共交通、道路桥梁、学校、医院等设施。相对于上届保守党政府将挖开的地铁洞又重新填上,本届省府与地方政府、联邦政府合作,近年来在大多伦多-哈密尔顿地区开始了多个建设项目,比如从Spadina地铁延伸到旺市的工程、全国最大的公共交通工程Eglinton轻轨等等,都在兴建,未来两年还会有更多的项目。基建投资不仅可以在短期内促进经济、创造就业,而且在长期效果上也将提升全省的竞争能力,改善市民的生活品质,这是一举多得。

第三,省府注重营造一个富有生机、有利于商业增长的营商环境,企业税率较低,并注重打造一个以科技创新、高增长和外向型商业而驱动的低碳经济。安省是具有国际视野的省份,也是最具多元文化、多族裔和谐和包容、较少具有排外情绪的省份,知道对外贸易、吸引投资对发展本地经济的重要性,知道在全球化的今天,需要更加积极努力地去开拓国际市场,推动安省企业走向国际,到全球去竞争,到中国、印度、巴西等新兴的经济体中寻求合作与商机,这就更需要新移民在其中发挥作用。

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